Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 53.19%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Weymouth win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
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