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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Welling United win was 0-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Welling United |
45.77% ( 3.14) | 24.8% ( -0.26) | 29.43% ( -2.87) |
| Both teams to score 55.98% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.1% ( -0.09) | 46.9% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.85% ( -0.09) | 69.15% ( 0.09) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.45% ( 1.38) | 20.55% ( -1.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.93% ( 2.14) | 53.07% ( -2.13) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.47% ( -1.97) | 29.53% ( 1.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.45% ( -2.47) | 65.55% ( 2.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Welling United |
| 1-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.3)2-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.64)3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.35)3-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.49)3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.21)4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.25)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.73% Total : 45.77% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.39) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.47)0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.51)1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.37)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.32)Other @ 3.33% Total : 29.43% |
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