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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Welling United win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Welling United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Welling United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Welling United | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
42.74% ( 0.18) | 24.86% ( -0) | 32.4% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 57.29% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.15% ( -0.05) | 45.85% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.84% ( -0.05) | 68.16% ( 0.04) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.52% ( 0.06) | 21.47% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.49% ( 0.1) | 54.51% ( -0.1) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.96% ( -0.14) | 27.04% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.6% ( -0.18) | 62.4% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Welling United | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
| 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 42.74% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.86% | 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.05% Total : 32.4% |
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