SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Cheshunt | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 23 | Chippenham Town | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 24 | Weymouth | 4 | -8 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Worthing | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| 4 | Chelmsford City | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bath City | 4 | 1 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Chelmsford City |
44.34% ( -1.39) | 24.99% ( 0.27) | 30.66% ( 1.13) |
| Both teams to score 56.05% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.87% ( -0.62) | 47.13% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.63% ( -0.58) | 69.37% ( 0.58) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.72% ( -0.87) | 21.28% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.79% ( -1.37) | 54.21% ( 1.37) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.2% ( 0.46) | 28.8% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.35% ( 0.57) | 64.65% ( -0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 1-0 @ 9.48% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.55% Total : 44.34% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.61% Total : 30.66% |
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