SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
46.26% ( 0.4) | 24.74% ( -0.06) | 29% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 55.91% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.12% ( 0.08) | 46.88% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.87% ( 0.07) | 69.13% ( -0.07) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.67% ( 0.21) | 20.33% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.28% ( 0.33) | 52.72% ( -0.32) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.18% ( -0.2) | 29.82% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.1% ( -0.24) | 65.9% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 46.26% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.24% Total : 29% |
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