SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | St Albans City |
43.57% ( 0.22) | 23.87% ( -0.06) | 32.55% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 60.86% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.79% ( 0.24) | 41.21% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.39% ( 0.25) | 63.6% ( -0.25) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.82% ( 0.19) | 19.18% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.15% ( 0.32) | 50.84% ( -0.32) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.3% ( 0.02) | 24.7% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.76% ( 0.03) | 59.23% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | St Albans City |
| 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.3% Total : 43.57% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.86% | 1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 32.55% |
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