SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 21.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dartford | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
55.4% ( 0.37) | 23.06% ( -0.13) | 21.53% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 53.83% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.95% ( 0.27) | 46.05% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.64% ( 0.26) | 68.35% ( -0.26) |
| Dartford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.52% ( 0.23) | 16.47% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.82% ( 0.41) | 46.18% ( -0.41) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.45% ( -0.08) | 35.55% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.68% ( -0.09) | 72.32% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dartford | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.24% Total : 55.4% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.06% | 0-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.91% Total : 21.53% |
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