SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 55.78%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 21.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Tonbridge Angels win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
55.78% ( 0.11) | 22.31% ( -0.07) | 21.91% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.88% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.73% ( 0.26) | 42.27% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.33% ( 0.26) | 64.67% ( -0.26) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.98% ( 0.13) | 15.02% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.51% ( 0.24) | 43.5% ( -0.24) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.93% ( 0.11) | 33.07% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.34% ( 0.12) | 69.66% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 55.78% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.31% | 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 21.91% |
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