SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weymouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Weymouth |
30.03% ( -0.72) | 25.87% ( -0.12) | 44.1% ( 0.85) |
| Both teams to score 52.88% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.89% ( 0.22) | 51.11% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.04% ( 0.19) | 72.96% ( -0.19) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.75% ( -0.4) | 31.25% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.4% ( -0.47) | 67.6% ( 0.47) |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.92% ( 0.51) | 23.08% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.08% ( 0.73) | 56.92% ( -0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Weymouth |
| 1-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.91% Total : 30.03% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.06% Total : 44.1% |
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