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National League South | Gameweek 31
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns

Chelmsford City
0 - 2
Bath City

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wilson (7'), Smith (87')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Bath City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hungerford 1-1 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 0-1 Farnborough Town
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Bath City had a probability of 24.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Bath City win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawBath City
50.6% (0.197 0.2) 24.88% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07) 24.51% (-0.131 -0.13)
Both teams to score 51.71% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.37% (0.157 0.16)50.62% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.46% (0.138 0.14)72.53% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.98% (0.14400000000001 0.14)20.01% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.79% (0.23 0.23)52.2% (-0.232 -0.23)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.65% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)35.35% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.89% (-0.032 -0.03)72.1% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 50.59%
    Bath City 24.51%
    Draw 24.88%
Chelmsford CityDrawBath City
1-0 @ 11.37% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.16% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.11% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.91% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.05% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 50.59%
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.07% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 7.36% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.15% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.83% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 24.51%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Hungerford 1-1 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 Welling United
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-2 Chelmsford City
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-0 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 Chippenham
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 2-2 Chelmsford City
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 0-1 Farnborough Town
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 2-1 Bath City
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-0 Eastbourne
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 0-0 Bath City
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-2 Worthing
Thursday, December 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 1-3 Chippenham
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South


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