Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Bath City had a probability of 24.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Bath City win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chelmsford City | Draw | Bath City |
50.6% ( 0.2) | 24.88% ( -0.07) | 24.51% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 51.71% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.37% ( 0.16) | 50.62% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.46% ( 0.14) | 72.53% ( -0.14) |
Chelmsford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.98% ( 0.14) | 20.01% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.79% ( 0.23) | 52.2% ( -0.23) |
Bath City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.65% ( -0.03) | 35.35% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.89% ( -0.03) | 72.1% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Chelmsford City | Draw | Bath City |
1-0 @ 11.37% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 50.59% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 24.51% |
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