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National League South | Gameweek 19
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Court Place Farm

Oxford City
2 - 2
Hemel Hempstead

Parker (45+3'), William-Bushell (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Holness (25'), Castiglione (59')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Oxford City and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Worthing 1-0 Oxford City
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 3-2 Hungerford
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 54.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 22.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 1-2 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Oxford CityDrawHemel Hempstead Town
54.67% (-7.46 -7.46) 22.78% (2.185 2.19) 22.54% (5.273 5.27)
Both teams to score 56.15% (1.506 1.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.36% (-2.265 -2.27)43.64% (2.262 2.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.96% (-2.259 -2.26)66.03% (2.258 2.26)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.13% (-3.094 -3.09)15.87% (3.093 3.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.91% (-6.02 -6.02)45.08% (6.017 6.02)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.74% (4.094 4.09)33.26% (-4.097 -4.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.13% (4.264 4.26)69.87% (-4.266 -4.27)
Score Analysis
    Oxford City 54.67%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 22.54%
    Draw 22.78%
Oxford CityDrawHemel Hempstead Town
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-0 @ 9.72% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-0 @ 8.94% (-1.158 -1.16)
3-1 @ 6.04% (-0.783 -0.78)
3-0 @ 5.49% (-1.442 -1.44)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.78% (-0.731 -0.73)
4-0 @ 2.53% (-1.039 -1.04)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.198 -0.2)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.421 -0.42)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.538 -0.54)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 54.67%
1-1 @ 10.69% (1.02 1.02)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.52 0.52)
0-0 @ 5.28% (0.505 0.51)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.117 0.12)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.78%
1-2 @ 5.89% (1.126 1.13)
0-1 @ 5.81% (1.111 1.11)
0-2 @ 3.2% (0.885 0.89)
1-3 @ 2.16% (0.597 0.6)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.38 0.38)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.414 0.41)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 22.54%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Worthing 1-0 Oxford City
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Fleetwood 3-1 Oxford City
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Oxford City 2-0 Hungerford
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 2-1 Oxford City
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 2-1 Taunton Town
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 0-1 Oxford City
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 3-2 Hungerford
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 2-0 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 0-1 Hemel Hempstead
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 2-1 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 0-1 Cheshunt
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in National League South


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