Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 54.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 1-2 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oxford City | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
54.67% ( -7.46) | 22.78% ( 2.19) | 22.54% ( 5.27) |
Both teams to score 56.15% ( 1.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.36% ( -2.27) | 43.64% ( 2.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.96% ( -2.26) | 66.03% ( 2.26) |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.13% ( -3.09) | 15.87% ( 3.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.91% ( -6.02) | 45.08% ( 6.02) |
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.74% ( 4.09) | 33.26% ( -4.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.13% ( 4.26) | 69.87% ( -4.27) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford City | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 8.94% ( -1.16) 3-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.78) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( -1.44) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.73) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( -1.04) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.2) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.42) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.54) Other @ 2.53% Total : 54.67% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 1.02) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.52) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.51) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.78% | 1-2 @ 5.89% ( 1.13) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( 1.11) 0-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.89) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.6) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.38) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.41) Other @ 2.33% Total : 22.54% |
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