SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Braintree Town | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| 8 | Welling United | 6 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Dartford | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Bath City | 6 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Oxford City | 5 | 8 | 12 |
| 6 | Worthing | 6 | 6 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 65.92%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 14.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.99%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-0 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Welling United | Draw | Oxford City |
14.29% ( -0.55) | 19.78% ( -0.67) | 65.92% ( 1.21) |
| Both teams to score 50.36% ( 0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.45% ( 1.8) | 43.55% ( -1.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.06% ( 1.74) | 65.94% ( -1.74) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.46% ( 0.34) | 42.53% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.1% ( 0.29) | 78.89% ( -0.29) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.64% ( 0.9) | 12.36% ( -0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.8% ( 1.84) | 38.2% ( -1.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Welling United | Draw | Oxford City |
| 1-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.52% Total : 14.29% | 1-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.43)2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.93% Total : 19.78% | 0-2 @ 11.49% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.49)1-2 @ 9.82% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 8.01% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 6.85% ( 0.23)0-4 @ 4.19% ( 0.24)1-4 @ 3.58% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.12)0-5 @ 1.75% ( 0.15)2-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.11)1-5 @ 1.5% ( 0.14)Other @ 3.3% Total : 65.92% |
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