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National League South | Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Park View Road

Welling United
5 - 0
Oxford City

Azeez (9', 32', 44'), Payne (41', 70')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Rowan (65')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Welling United and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford City 2-0 Hampton
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 65.92%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 14.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.99%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-0 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
Welling UnitedDrawOxford City
14.29% (-0.547 -0.55) 19.78% (-0.668 -0.67) 65.92% (1.214 1.21)
Both teams to score 50.36% (0.808 0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.45% (1.797 1.8)43.55% (-1.797 -1.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.06% (1.74 1.74)65.94% (-1.741 -1.74)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.46% (0.338 0.34)42.53% (-0.339 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.1% (0.287 0.29)78.89% (-0.289 -0.29)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.64% (0.896 0.9)12.36% (-0.896 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.8% (1.84 1.84)38.2% (-1.841 -1.84)
Score Analysis
    Welling United 14.29%
    Oxford City 65.92%
    Draw 19.78%
Welling UnitedDrawOxford City
1-0 @ 4.49% (-0.319 -0.32)
2-1 @ 4.02% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-0 @ 1.92% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.2% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 14.29%
1-1 @ 9.4% (-0.33 -0.33)
0-0 @ 5.26% (-0.426 -0.43)
2-2 @ 4.2% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 19.78%
0-2 @ 11.49% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-1 @ 10.99% (-0.49 -0.49)
1-2 @ 9.82% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 8.01% (0.192 0.19)
1-3 @ 6.85% (0.226 0.23)
0-4 @ 4.19% (0.237 0.24)
1-4 @ 3.58% (0.233 0.23)
2-3 @ 2.93% (0.123 0.12)
0-5 @ 1.75% (0.154 0.15)
2-4 @ 1.53% (0.114 0.11)
1-5 @ 1.5% (0.144 0.14)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 65.92%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 1-2 Welling United
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-2 Chelmsford City
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 2-3 Welling United
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 2-1 Cheshunt
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 2-4 Worthing
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 0-0 Welling United
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 2-0 Hampton
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 0-2 Oxford City
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 5-0 Concord Rangers
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-1 Oxford City
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 1-3 Eastbourne
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 3-3 Oxford City
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South


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