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National League South | Gameweek 37
Mar 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet
7 - 2
Worthing

Coulthirst (21'), Bingham (27'), O'Neill (45'), Sterling-James (49'), Edser (62'), Poleon (83'), Clifford (85')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Meekums (11'), Barker (80')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-0 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 1-1 Worthing
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Worthing had a probability of 16.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Worthing win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawWorthing
63.84% (0.079999999999998 0.08) 20.12% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02) 16.04% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 53.54% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.5% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)41.5% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.1% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)63.9% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.67% (0.012 0.01)12.33% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.86% (0.025999999999996 0.03)38.14% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.07% (-0.107 -0.11)38.93% (0.107 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.35% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)75.65% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 63.83%
    Worthing 16.04%
    Draw 20.12%
EbbsfleetDrawWorthing
2-0 @ 10.51% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 10.04% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 7.34% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.84% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.62% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.61% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.52% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 63.83%
1-1 @ 9.48% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.8% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.12%
0-1 @ 4.53% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.47% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.14% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 16.04%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-0 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 2-2 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 1-2 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 6-2 Hampton
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 0-0 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 1-1 Worthing
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 1-1 Worthing
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 2-1 Hungerford
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 6-0 Dulwich Hamlet
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 3-0 Worthing
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 4-5 St Albans City
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League South


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