Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Worthing had a probability of 16.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Worthing win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
Result | ||
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Worthing |
63.84% ( 0.08) | 20.12% ( -0.02) | 16.04% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 53.54% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.5% ( -0.04) | 41.5% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.1% ( -0.04) | 63.9% ( 0.04) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.67% ( 0.01) | 12.33% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.86% ( 0.03) | 38.14% ( -0.02) |
Worthing Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.07% ( -0.11) | 38.93% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.35% ( -0.1) | 75.65% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Worthing |
2-0 @ 10.51% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.92% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.62% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 3.54% Total : 63.83% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.12% | 0-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 16.04% |
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