SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Worthing win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Worthing |
39.65% ( -0.01) | 24.67% ( 0) | 35.68% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.83% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.78% ( -0.01) | 44.22% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.4% ( -0.01) | 66.6% ( 0.01) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.75% ( -0.01) | 22.25% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.31% ( -0.02) | 55.69% ( 0.01) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.67% ( -0) | 24.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.28% ( -0) | 58.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Worthing |
| 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.14% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 39.65% | 1-1 @ 11.49% 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.66% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.41% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.87% Total : 35.68% |
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