SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 55.78%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 22.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | Chelmsford City |
22.13% ( -0.75) | 22.09% ( -0.3) | 55.78% ( 1.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.96% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.02% ( 0.5) | 40.98% ( -0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.63% ( 0.51) | 63.37% ( -0.51) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.85% ( -0.38) | 32.15% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.37% ( -0.44) | 68.63% ( 0.44) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.42% ( 0.52) | 14.58% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.34% ( 0.98) | 42.65% ( -0.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 2-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.53% Total : 22.13% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.08% | 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 8.69% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 6.33% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 5.58% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 3.05% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 2.69% ( 0.13)2-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.05)1-5 @ 1.17% ( 0.07)0-5 @ 1.03% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.04% Total : 55.78% |
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