SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 47%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Farnborough Town |
27.71% ( 0.06) | 25.29% ( 0.01) | 47% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.23% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.03% ( -0.02) | 49.97% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.05% ( -0.02) | 71.95% ( 0.02) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.62% ( 0.04) | 32.38% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.11% ( 0.04) | 68.89% ( -0.03) |
| Farnborough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.72% ( -0.04) | 21.27% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.8% ( -0.06) | 54.2% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Farnborough Town |
| 1-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 27.71% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 10.66% 1-2 @ 9.3% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.25% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.8% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 47% |
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