Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 26.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chelmsford City in this match.
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