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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
34.33% ( 0.38) | 25.54% ( 0.03) | 40.13% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 55.53% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.6% ( -0.07) | 48.39% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.47% ( -0.06) | 70.53% ( 0.06) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.92% ( 0.2) | 27.08% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.54% ( 0.26) | 62.46% ( -0.26) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.15% ( -0.24) | 23.85% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.96% ( -0.35) | 58.04% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
| 1-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.05% Total : 34.33% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 40.13% |
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