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National League South | Gameweek 23
Jan 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Paddy Power Park

Farnborough Town
1 - 2
Hemel Hempstead

Grant (51')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hinds (12'), Brown (22')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Farnborough Town and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bath City 0-1 Farnborough Town
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 0-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 22.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Farnborough TownDrawHemel Hempstead Town
54.54% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04) 23.24% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 22.22% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)46.04% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.66% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)68.34% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.23% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)16.77% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.28% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)46.72% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.11% (0.024000000000001 0.02)34.89% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.37% (0.027999999999999 0.03)71.63% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Farnborough Town 54.53%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 22.22%
    Draw 23.24%
Farnborough TownDrawHemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 10.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.33% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 54.53%
1-1 @ 11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.24%
0-1 @ 6.16% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 22.22%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bath City 0-1 Farnborough Town
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 1-4 Farnborough Town
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 2-1 Hungerford
Sunday, January 1 at 1pm in National League South
Last Game: Hungerford 1-1 Farnborough Town
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-2 Farnborough Town
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 2-2 Hampton
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 0-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 1-3 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 2-0 Hampton
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 2-1 Hemel Hempstead
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-3 St Albans City
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-0 Bath City
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League South


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