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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Welling United win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Welling United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Welling United | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
39.42% ( 2.04) | 25.98% ( 0.55) | 34.6% ( -2.59) |
| Both teams to score 54.11% ( -2.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.76% ( -2.64) | 50.24% ( 2.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.8% ( -2.39) | 72.2% ( 2.39) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.94% ( -0.1) | 25.05% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.27% ( -0.14) | 59.73% ( 0.14) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.2% ( -2.75) | 27.8% ( 2.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.61% ( -3.66) | 63.39% ( 3.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Welling United | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.96) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.65)3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.29)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.6% Total : 39.42% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.71)2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.3)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.41)0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.28)1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.47)0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.33)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.33)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.25)Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.6% |
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