SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hemel Hempstead Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
39.21% ( -1.61) | 25.31% ( 0.13) | 35.48% ( 1.48) |
| Both teams to score 56.54% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.82% ( -0.33) | 47.17% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.59% ( -0.31) | 69.41% ( 0.3) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.22% ( -0.96) | 23.78% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.06% ( -1.39) | 57.94% ( 1.39) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.18% ( 0.71) | 25.82% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.22% ( 0.96) | 60.78% ( -0.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
| 1-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.01% Total : 39.21% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.3)1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.18)1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.41% Total : 35.48% |
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