SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungerford Town win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungerford Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hungerford Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hungerford Town | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
38.74% ( -0.01) | 25.86% ( -0) | 35.39% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.6% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.34% ( 0.01) | 49.66% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.32% ( 0.01) | 71.67% ( -0.01) |
| Hungerford Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.84% ( -0) | 25.15% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.13% ( -0) | 59.86% |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.95% ( 0.01) | 27.04% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.58% ( 0.02) | 62.41% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hungerford Town | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.39% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.48% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.9% 3-0 @ 2.98% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.6% Total : 38.74% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 8.89% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.54% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 35.39% |
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