SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 47.09%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
47.09% ( 0.75) | 24.11% ( -0.05) | 28.79% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 57.9% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.8% ( -0.16) | 44.2% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.42% ( -0.16) | 66.58% ( 0.16) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.09% ( 0.25) | 18.91% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.6% ( 0.41) | 50.4% ( -0.4) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.4% ( -0.56) | 28.6% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.6% ( -0.71) | 64.4% ( 0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.29% Total : 47.09% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.11% | 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.64% Total : 28.79% |
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