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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungerford Town win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungerford Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Concord Rangers win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Concord Rangers | Draw | Hungerford Town |
28.11% ( -1.11) | 24.03% ( -0.31) | 47.86% ( 1.42) |
| Both teams to score 57.7% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.76% ( 0.72) | 44.24% ( -0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.38% ( 0.7) | 66.62% ( -0.7) |
| Concord Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.89% ( -0.41) | 29.11% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.97% ( -0.52) | 65.03% ( 0.52) |
| Hungerford Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.38% ( 0.87) | 18.62% ( -0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.09% ( 1.44) | 49.92% ( -1.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Concord Rangers | Draw | Hungerford Town |
| 2-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.29)2-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.41% Total : 28.11% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 5.3% ( 0.21)0-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.22)2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.15)0-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.14)2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.39% Total : 47.86% |
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