Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 20.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Chelmsford City win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
Result | ||
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Chelmsford City |
57.36% ( -1.32) | 22.31% ( 0.36) | 20.33% ( 0.96) |
Both teams to score 54.49% ( 0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.7% ( -0.23) | 44.3% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.32% ( -0.23) | 66.67% ( 0.22) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.8% ( -0.51) | 15.2% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.17% ( -0.97) | 43.83% ( 0.96) |
Chelmsford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.26% ( 0.86) | 35.74% ( -0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.48% ( 0.87) | 72.51% ( -0.88) |
Score Analysis |
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Chelmsford City |
1-0 @ 10.23% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.27) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.6% Total : 57.35% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.3% | 0-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.86% Total : 20.33% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: