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National League South | Gameweek 17
Jan 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet
2 - 0
Chelmsford City

Bingham (27'), O'Neill (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-2 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 Chippenham
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 20.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Chelmsford City win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawChelmsford City
57.36% (-1.322 -1.32) 22.31% (0.358 0.36) 20.33% (0.959 0.96)
Both teams to score 54.49% (0.408 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.7% (-0.235 -0.23)44.3% (0.231 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.32% (-0.229 -0.23)66.67% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.8% (-0.509 -0.51)15.2% (0.505 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.17% (-0.965 -0.97)43.83% (0.96 0.96)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.26% (0.859 0.86)35.74% (-0.863 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.48% (0.873 0.87)72.51% (-0.877 -0.88)
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 57.35%
    Chelmsford City 20.33%
    Draw 22.3%
EbbsfleetDrawChelmsford City
1-0 @ 10.23% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.64% (-0.25 -0.25)
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-0 @ 6.05% (-0.269 -0.27)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.93% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-0 @ 2.85% (-0.18 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.11% (-0.063 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.08% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 57.35%
1-1 @ 10.52% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 5.43% (0.054 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.108 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.3%
0-1 @ 5.59% (0.184 0.18)
1-2 @ 5.42% (0.208 0.21)
0-2 @ 2.88% (0.159 0.16)
1-3 @ 1.86% (0.113 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.076 0.08)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 20.33%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-2 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 4-1 Weymouth
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 4-0 Ebbsfleet
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-4 Dartford
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 1-0 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-2 Eastbourne
Tuesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 Chippenham
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 2-2 Chelmsford City
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 2-0 Braintree
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 3-0 Chelmsford City
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 2-1 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-0 Dartford
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League South


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