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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 54.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 22.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Chippenham Town win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Chippenham Town |
54.29% ( -1.55) | 23.53% ( 0.25) | 22.18% ( 1.31) |
| Both teams to score 53.22% ( 1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.7% ( 0.49) | 47.29% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.48% ( 0.45) | 69.52% ( -0.45) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.68% ( -0.38) | 17.32% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.32% ( -0.67) | 47.68% ( 0.67) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.37% ( 1.55) | 35.63% ( -1.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.6% ( 1.57) | 72.4% ( -1.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Chippenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.44)3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.33)3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.75% Total : 54.28% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.52% | 0-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.29)0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.11)Other @ 1.92% Total : 22.18% |
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