SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Chippenham Town | 4 | -2 | 5 |
| 20 | Hungerford Town | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 21 | Farnborough Town | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 23 | Cheshunt | 5 | -4 | 3 |
| 24 | Weymouth | 5 | -10 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungerford Town win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungerford Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hungerford Town | Draw | Weymouth |
46.6% ( -0.05) | 25.13% ( 0.08) | 28.28% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.16% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.06% ( -0.34) | 48.94% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.97% ( -0.31) | 71.03% ( 0.31) |
| Hungerford Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.97% ( -0.16) | 21.03% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.18% ( -0.26) | 53.82% ( 0.26) |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.59% ( -0.19) | 31.41% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.21% ( -0.23) | 67.79% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hungerford Town | Draw | Weymouth |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.17% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.56% Total : 46.6% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 28.28% |
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