Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 19.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Weymouth win it was 1-0 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.