SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Cheshunt | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 23 | Chippenham Town | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 24 | Weymouth | 4 | -8 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Concord Rangers | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 | Oxford City | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Dartford | 4 | 1 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 19.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Weymouth win it was 1-0 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Weymouth | Draw | Oxford City |
19.78% ( 0.02) | 22.72% ( 0.02) | 57.5% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.27% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.18% ( -0.05) | 46.82% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.92% ( -0.05) | 69.07% ( 0.05) |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.24% ( -0) | 37.76% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.47% ( -0) | 74.53% ( 0) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.98% ( -0.03) | 16.02% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.64% ( -0.06) | 45.36% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Weymouth | Draw | Oxford City |
| 1-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.25% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.71% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0)3-0 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.57% Total : 19.78% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.71% | 0-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.14% 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.19% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.03% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.04% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 57.49% |
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