SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Farnborough Town had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Farnborough Town win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Farnborough Town | Draw | Oxford City |
34.18% ( 0.01) | 25.52% ( -0.04) | 40.3% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.58% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.69% ( 0.17) | 48.31% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.54% ( 0.16) | 70.45% ( -0.16) |
| Farnborough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.87% ( 0.08) | 27.13% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.48% ( 0.11) | 62.52% ( -0.11) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.27% ( 0.09) | 23.73% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.14% ( 0.13) | 57.86% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Farnborough Town | Draw | Oxford City |
| 1-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 34.18% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.69% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.17% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.19% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 40.3% |
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