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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Welling United win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Chesham United had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Welling United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Chesham United win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Welling United | Draw | Chesham United |
40.69% ( 0.02) | 25.91% ( -0.01) | 33.4% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 54.06% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.82% ( 0.03) | 50.18% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.86% ( 0.03) | 72.14% ( -0.03) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.64% ( 0.02) | 24.36% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.23% ( 0.03) | 58.76% ( -0.03) |
| Chesham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.48% ( 0.01) | 28.52% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.7% ( 0.02) | 64.3% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Welling United | Draw | Chesham United |
| 1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.93% 3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.69% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.72% 0-2 @ 5.47% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.4% |
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