Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 65.11%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 14.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.
