SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Weymouth |
42.8% ( -0) | 25.1% ( -0.01) | 32.1% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.33% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.95% ( 0.02) | 47.05% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.7% ( 0.02) | 69.29% ( -0.02) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.04% ( 0.01) | 21.96% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.75% ( 0.01) | 55.25% ( -0.01) |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.18% ( 0.02) | 27.81% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.59% ( 0.02) | 63.4% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Weymouth |
| 1-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.98% 2-0 @ 7.02% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 42.8% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.82% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0)0-2 @ 5% 1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.1% |
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