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National League South | Gameweek 15
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Twerton Park Stadium

Bath City
0 - 2
Worthing

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aguiar (45+3'), Raynes (71' og.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Bath City and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bath City 3-0 Taunton Town
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 4-1 Worthing
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Worthing win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Bath CityDrawWorthing
45.23% (-0.37 -0.37) 24.04% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 30.72% (0.39 0.39)
Both teams to score 59.35% (0.32 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.18% (0.321 0.32)42.81% (-0.327 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.78% (0.318 0.32)65.21% (-0.325 -0.33)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.87% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)19.12% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.24% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)50.76% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.38% (0.413 0.41)26.61% (-0.419 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.16% (0.546 0.55)61.84% (-0.553 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Bath City 45.23%
    Worthing 30.72%
    Draw 24.04%
Bath CityDrawWorthing
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.42% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.84% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.37% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 45.23%
1-1 @ 11.14% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.1% (0.048 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.09% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.04%
1-2 @ 7.38% (0.063 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.74% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.26% (0.065 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.69% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.97% (0.041 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 30.72%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bath City 3-0 Taunton Town
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 3-2 Bath City
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 1-1 Bath City
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-2 Dover Athletic
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-1 Bath City
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 1-1 Bath City
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 4-1 Worthing
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 1-2 Yeovil
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 2-2 Truro City
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 4-0 Worthing
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 1-1 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 2-0 Welling United
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League South


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