Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Worthing win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bath City | Draw | Worthing |
45.23% ( -0.37) | 24.04% ( -0.03) | 30.72% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 59.35% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.18% ( 0.32) | 42.81% ( -0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.78% ( 0.32) | 65.21% ( -0.33) |
Bath City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.87% ( -0.03) | 19.12% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.24% ( -0.04) | 50.76% ( 0.03) |
Worthing Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.38% ( 0.41) | 26.61% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.16% ( 0.55) | 61.84% ( -0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Bath City | Draw | Worthing |
2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 45.23% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.04% | 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.15% Total : 30.72% |
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