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National League South | Gameweek 18
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vauxhall Ground

Hemel Hemps.
1 - 0
Taunton Town

McKenzie (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Taunton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aveley 2-1 Hemel Hemps.
Monday, November 6 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Taunton Town had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Taunton Town win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hemel Hempstead Town in this match.

Result
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawTaunton Town
37.46% (0.022999999999996 0.02) 26.75% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 35.8% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.72% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.65% (-0.102 -0.1)53.35% (0.104 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.11% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)74.89% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.41% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)27.59% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.88% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)63.12% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Taunton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.43% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)28.57% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)64.37% (0.10000000000001 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Hemel Hempstead Town 37.45%
    Taunton Town 35.8%
    Draw 26.74%
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawTaunton Town
1-0 @ 10.15% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.19% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.54% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.52% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 37.45%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.88% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 9.88% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.97% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.19% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.58% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 35.8%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Aveley 2-1 Hemel Hemps.
Monday, November 6 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 2-1 Dartford
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 0-2 Braintree
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 2-2 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 3-3 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 3-2 Torquay Utd
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 3-0 Taunton Town
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 0-1 Hampton
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 2-2 Taunton Town
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 2-1 Eastbourne
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 0-0 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South


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