SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 60.61%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 18.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Havant & Waterlooville win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Truro City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Truro City | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
60.61% ( 0.01) | 21.05% ( -0.01) | 18.34% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 55.23% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.36% ( 0.03) | 41.64% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.96% ( 0.03) | 64.04% ( -0.03) |
| Truro City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.69% ( 0.01) | 13.3% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.86% ( 0.02) | 40.14% ( -0.02) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.7% ( 0.01) | 36.29% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.92% ( 0.01) | 73.08% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Truro City | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
| 2-1 @ 9.96% 2-0 @ 9.82% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.61% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.38% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.33% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.71% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.36% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 3.28% Total : 60.61% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.05% | 1-2 @ 5% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.89% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.48% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.57% Total : 18.34% |
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