Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Welling United win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
