Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 58.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 19.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.
