SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Welling United win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hemel Hempstead Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Welling United |
44.62% ( 4.43) | 25.6% ( -0.22) | 29.78% ( -4.22) |
| Both teams to score 53.59% ( -0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.88% ( -0.48) | 50.12% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.91% ( -0.42) | 72.08% ( 0.42) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.58% ( 1.97) | 22.41% ( -1.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.06% ( 2.86) | 55.93% ( -2.86) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.08% ( -3.04) | 30.92% ( 3.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.79% ( -3.72) | 67.21% ( 3.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Welling United |
| 1-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.77) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.45)2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.98)3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.47)3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.68)3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.26)4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.32)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.21% Total : 44.61% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.55) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.69)0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.77)1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.54)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.26)0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.49)Other @ 2.98% Total : 29.78% |
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