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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Welling United win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Welling United | Draw | Yeovil Town |
33.59% ( -0.03) | 24.91% ( 0) | 41.5% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.53% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.28% ( -0.02) | 45.72% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.96% ( -0.01) | 68.04% ( 0.01) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.76% ( -0.02) | 26.24% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.66% ( -0.03) | 61.35% ( 0.03) |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78% ( 0.01) | 22.01% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.68% ( 0.01) | 55.32% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Welling United | Draw | Yeovil Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.73% 2-0 @ 5.17% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 3.27% Total : 33.59% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.9% | 1-2 @ 8.85% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.47% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.34% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.41% Total : 41.5% |
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