SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braintree Town win with a probability of 55.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 21.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braintree Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braintree Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braintree Town | Draw | Welling United |
55.26% ( 0.08) | 23.27% ( -0.06) | 21.47% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.09% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53% ( 0.19) | 47% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.75% ( 0.18) | 69.24% ( -0.19) |
| Braintree Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.13% ( 0.1) | 16.86% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.12% ( 0.18) | 46.88% ( -0.18) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.86% ( 0.08) | 36.14% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.07% ( 0.08) | 72.93% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braintree Town | Draw | Welling United |
| 1-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 55.25% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.26% | 0-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.62% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.91% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 1.82% Total : 21.47% |
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