SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Taunton Town had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Taunton Town win was 1-0 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Taunton Town | Draw | Worthing |
31.79% ( -0.04) | 24.85% ( -0.02) | 43.36% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 57.07% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.97% ( 0.07) | 46.03% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.67% ( 0.07) | 68.33% ( -0.07) |
| Taunton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.49% ( 0.01) | 27.51% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.99% ( 0.01) | 63.01% ( -0.01) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.73% ( 0.05) | 21.27% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.81% ( 0.09) | 54.19% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Taunton Town | Draw | Worthing |
| 1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.25% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.1% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.92% Total : 31.79% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.01% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.67% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 43.36% |
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