SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for York City had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | York City |
43.74% ( 0.12) | 24.82% ( -0.06) | 31.44% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 57.01% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.96% ( 0.24) | 46.05% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.65% ( 0.23) | 68.35% ( -0.22) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.9% ( 0.16) | 21.1% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.07% ( 0.24) | 53.93% ( -0.24) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.26% ( 0.08) | 27.75% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.69% ( 0.1) | 63.32% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.09% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.62% Total : 43.74% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.82% | 0-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 31.44% |
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