SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 52.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Aldershot Town |
52.27% ( -0.22) | 24.12% ( 0.12) | 23.6% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.09% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.68% ( -0.37) | 48.32% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.54% ( -0.34) | 70.46% ( 0.34) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.54% ( -0.22) | 18.46% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.36% ( -0.38) | 49.64% ( 0.38) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.11% ( -0.11) | 34.89% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.37% ( -0.11) | 71.63% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.31% Total : 52.27% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.11% | 0-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 23.6% |
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