Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 52.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
-0.22) 
0.12) 
