SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Aldershot Town |
42.75% ( -0.16) | 25.92% ( 0.01) | 31.33% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 53.31% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.17% ( 0.01) | 50.83% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.28% ( 0.01) | 72.71% ( -0.01) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.38% ( -0.07) | 23.62% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.3% ( -0.11) | 57.7% ( 0.11) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.8% ( 0.11) | 30.2% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.64% ( 0.13) | 66.36% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.96% Total : 42.74% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.33% |
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