Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 52.5%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.
