SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Sutton United |
33.51% ( -0.02) | 24.5% ( 0.05) | 41.99% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.94% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.13% ( -0.26) | 43.87% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.75% ( -0.25) | 66.25% ( 0.26) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.59% ( -0.14) | 25.4% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.79% ( -0.19) | 60.21% ( 0.19) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.01% ( -0.12) | 20.98% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.25% ( -0.19) | 53.75% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Sutton United |
| 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 33.51% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.49% | 1-2 @ 8.9% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.64% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.38% 2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 41.99% |
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