SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 36.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.4%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | York City |
36.77% ( -0.39) | 24.11% ( 0.24) | 39.12% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 61.02% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.57% ( -1.22) | 41.43% ( 1.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.17% ( -1.25) | 63.83% ( 1.25) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.53% ( -0.75) | 22.47% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.98% ( -1.13) | 56.02% ( 1.14) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.71% ( -0.46) | 21.29% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.77% ( -0.71) | 54.23% ( 0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | York City |
| 2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.77% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.26)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.1% | 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.3)0-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 39.12% |
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