Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Boreham Wood had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Boreham Wood win was 1-0 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0.01) 
