Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 67.57%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 14.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 3-1 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for an Altrincham win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
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