SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for York City had a probability of 17.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.93%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a York City win it was 1-0 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Chesterfield |
17.76% ( -0.01) | 22.25% ( -0.05) | 60% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.17% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.19% ( 0.19) | 47.81% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.01% ( 0.17) | 69.99% ( -0.18) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.39% ( 0.1) | 40.61% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.8% ( 0.09) | 77.2% ( -0.09) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.48% ( 0.08) | 15.52% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.56% ( 0.15) | 44.44% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 4.77% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 17.76% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.92% Total : 22.25% | 0-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 10.93% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.79% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.12% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.85% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 59.99% |
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